Squarepoint · Probability & Brainteasers
Find the Correlation Between Two Die-Face Counts
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October 7, 2026 · 1 min read
A fair six-sided die is tossed n independent times, with n a fixed positive integer. Let X count the rolls that land on 1, and let Y count the rolls that land on 5. Compute Corr(X, Y) and explain why these two counts are dependent even though the individual rolls are independent.
Constraints & Assumptions
- Each roll produces exactly one result from
{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. - The die is fair, and different rolls are mutually independent.
n > 0, so both variances are positive and the correlation is well-defined.
Clarifying Questions to Ask
- Is
na fixed quantity rather than a random one? - Can a single roll add to both
XandYat the same time?
Hint — Examine a single roll closely: Compare the dependence between the two face indicators within one roll against the independence across separate rolls.
What a Strong Answer Covers
- Accurate expectations, variances, covariance, correlation, and an explanation of the negative dependence.
- A derivation showing whether and how
ncancels out.
Follow-up Questions
- What does the correlation become if the two counted categories have unequal probabilities?
- How does the covariance change when
nitself is random?
Overview:
A fair six-sided die is tossed n independent times, with n a fixed positive integer. State the assumptions and derivation clearly, examine edge cases, and describe how the result changes when those assumptions are relaxed.
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