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Decide if a dice-betting game is favorable
TrueInterview
October 7, 2026 · 1 min read
You are evaluating a game against a “house” played with fair six-sided dice. Rules:
- You roll one die, and the house rolls one die.
- If your roll is strictly higher than the house’s roll, you win and the house pays you dollars.
- If the house’s roll is higher or the rolls tie, you lose and you pay the house dollars. Tasks:
- Find the expected value (EV) of one round as a function of and .
- Derive the condition on and under which you should play if you are risk-neutral.
- Briefly describe how you would verify the EV through a simple Python Monte Carlo simulation (no need to write production code). Overview: This question assesses probability theory, expected-value computation, risk-neutral decision criteria, and basic Monte Carlo simulation concepts in the Statistics & Math domain. It probes both conceptual understanding of discrete probabilistic outcomes and the practical use of simulation-based verification. Read the full data scientist interview experience this question came from.
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