Capital One · Probability & Brainteasers
Compute gala vs online break-even donors
TrueInterview
October 7, 2026 · 1 min read
A nonprofit has to select one of two possible fundraising approaches.
Option A (Gala): the event can hold 100 attendees; fixed cost is $20,000, and variable cost is $100 per attendee. There are two donor segments: High (H) donors give $1,000 each, and Low (L) donors give $250 each. In the broader donor pool, 80% are L and 20% are H. If k of the 100 gala attendees are H, then the remaining attendees are L.
Option B (Online campaign): it reaches 1,000 people; fixed cost is $8,000, and variable cost is $1 per person reached. Among those 1,000 reached, 80% are L and 20% are H. The conversion rates and average gifts are as follows: L donors convert at 8% and give $50 on average, while H donors convert at 15% and give $500 on average.
Questions:
- Calculate the expected net revenue for Option B.
- Write Option A's net revenue as a function of k. Determine the smallest integer k for which Option A's net revenue is at least Option B's expected net revenue.
- If gala invitations are drawn at random from the pool (80% L / 20% H), calculate Option A's expected net revenue and its expected advantage over Option B.
- How much would the gala's fixed cost need to increase, with all else held constant, to move the break-even k found in (2) upward by 10 additional H attendees?
Overview: This question assesses a candidate's ability to compute expected values, model revenue using probability-weighted segments, perform break-even analysis, and analyze the sensitivity of cost parameters in a donor-segmentation setting.